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Friday, April 26, 2013

Injuries and The Heat Contender Profile

Much apologies about the delay but as always exam season usually wins over almost anything else in life. Before breaking down the Miami Heat and their title chances (hint: they are really really good) I will quickly tangent to talk about a storyline that has gained significant steam over the last few months, that storyline is the one of injuries.

One Bright side to the injury? Less outfits like this.


Earlier today a lot of people may have been disappointed to hear that Russell Westbrook could miss the playoffs after having surgery on his meniscus. Now, my hate for the Thunder is not hidden but even I feel bad for them. I still remember when Chris Webber went down in a heap in a year that Sacramento would almost assuredly have won the title (2003) and it sucks, it really does. You only get so many chances to win a title and Oklahoma City just lost one of them. Having said that, a lot of other teams are dealing with injuries; Rose, Bryant, Gallo, Nash, Ginobili, Lee, Rondo, Chandler, Granger, to name a few that could put a serious dent into what little chances they had to win the title in the first place (This is not even mentioning guys like Kevin Love whose absence greatly affected the Wolves season). The playoffs would be far more intriguing if everyone was healthy, that almost goes without say but isn't it time to consider the big picture here? Just earlier this year Popovich infamously benched his best players for a nationally televised game against the Miami Heat, sighting that playing four games in five nights on the road was a strain he did not want to expose his players to (something that both he and the Spurs were fined heavily for by David Stern). Pop is also among the least shy coaches when it comes to resting players and preserving them over the long haul, more than happy to throw away a few regular season wins for the long-term health of his team. Looking at the Spurs now, Pops method looks like its paying off; the Spurs seem to be getting healthy as other teams around them are crumbling with Ginobili and Parker looking like they are getting back to their best.

Injuries have clearly thrown a massive wrench into the postseason and now at least five fan bases will be left wondering what could have been if they were fully healthy for the playoffs. At what point does the NBA step in and do something? Now I am not asking for anything dramatic to be done, but how about just letting teams rest their players during the regular season without fear of being fined? Or maybe shorten the regular season by 10 games? These athletes are exerting themselves on a nightly basis for over seven months for our entertainment and we are surprised when they do serious damage to their bodies? Hopefully the occurrence of key injuries this year will alert someone with authority to do something about this in the future, because for now we know that Stern will stand pat.

The Miami Heat

One team that has not been affected by injuries to the extend that others have also happens to be the team that is the odds on favorite to win the title, the Heat. There really isn't much to profile about these guys, they can play any style: big, small, fast, slow, 3-point shooting, defense, you name it they have it. At their disposal they have three players who could be franchise players on other teams working in a system that took Miami on an astonishing 27 game winning steak. The Heat have lost only 2 games since signing Chris Andersen (who would have thought huh?) and it would be a massive surprise if they did not win their second straight title this season. The only drama at this point seems to be whether or not they can match the 01' Lakers and their 15-1 romp through the 2001 playoffs. Future editions of contender profiles will focus on what has to go right for teams to beat Miami, who will in all likely hood sweep the Bucks this weekend.

Up next: The Knicks of New York

Monday, April 1, 2013

Profiling the NBA Contenders: Thunder

With less than a quarter of the regular season left, it seems like a perfect time to spend the next few weeks taking a closer look at the contenders for the NBA title. Our first look will be on the Thunder of Oklahoma City.



Overview

Currently, OKC (I hate that this is the only short form nickname for them, it adds to my heavy dislike of this team) sits second in the Western conference with an impressive record of 54-20 (as of this writing). They have an outside shot of catching the Spurs for the one-seed, and are led by the impressive tandem of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. Last season, the Thunder made the NBA finals and are hoping to take that final step to win this year.

Key Players

If it wasn't for Lebron submitting one of the greatest seasons ever, Durant would be the run-away MVP, he is averaging 28.3 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per game (all above his career averages) while shooting an astonishing 50% from the field, 40% from 3 and above 90% at the free-throw line. Durant has the ability to dominate playoff series, and take over in big moments, an absolute must for a team hoping to win a title. Although Durant is the best player on his team, his supporting cast is not too shabby. He is flanked by Russell Westbrook, a very dynamic and explosive player that you are not winning against if he is on his "A" game (more on this in a bit). In addition to Westbrook, the Thunder also have Serge Ibaka, one of the best interior defenders and athletes in the league along with Kevin Martin (a 20 ppg player on most other teams, but a role player on the Thunder. If Martin is your fourth best player, you are in good shape).

Strengths

Star power, a great home-court advantage, benefit of every borderline call, can protect leads, can adapt to play slow, fast, quick, or big, RussellWestbrook.

Weaknesses

Questionable coaching (especially when Scottie Brooks insisted on staying with Kendrick Perkins in the finals last year instead of starting James Harden and matching Miami's small-ball approach), poor late game execution; usually its just one guy going one-on-one and forcing a terrible shot (they get away with this because that guy is usually Kevin Durant), and Russell Westbrook.

You may have noticed that Russell Westbrook is featured as both a strength and a weakness. This is because if Westbrook brings that aforementioned "A" game, where he involves his teammates, is an absolute beast defensively, and does not force shots, the Thunder are unbeatable. However, for every "A" game Westbrook provides, he also provides games where he forces too much, shoots a long two with 22 seconds on the shot clock and blows possessions by not running the offense (not giving the ball to Durant) and looking for all the glory. Most often this results in one of those "how did we blow that game" games.

Key Question

How will the second unit and crunch time line-ups function without James Harden once the playoffs start?

Playoff Match-up Casual Fans Would Like To See Most

A duel with James Harden and the high-scoring Houston Rockets. Hands down.

 
Why They Will Win

Westbrook provides more "A" games than "F" games, a third (James harden would have been this) option emerges who relieves some of the burden of the offense that Durant and Westbrook provide, Derek Fisher hits some clutch shots.

Why They Will Lose

A third option does not emerge, Miami meets them in the finals, They get worn out from tough Western conference series, Scottie Brooks and Russell Westbrook blow winnable games with questionable decision making.

Next feature: Miami Heat



Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Guest Post: The State of Serbian Soccer


With one of the more anticipated soccer games in recent Serbian history, a friend asked me if he could post is thoughts after Croatia’s 2-0 win. Naturally, we welcome anyone to share their opinions on this blog; so here it is (author credit will be at the bottom of the page, I will post my own notes in italics throughout the article when necessary).

The loss to Australia…..6-0…6-0…The loss too Argentina rings through my brain…Mijatovic’s missed penalty kick to send us far in the World Cup in a game against Netherlands Mijatovic missed the penalty when the score was 1-1,( Holland would then score in the 92’ to send them through to the quarter finals). The national team losing their place to Denmark (who would go onto win it all in the 1992 Euro’s), Red Star Belgrade ’91 (A Serbian club team who lifted the European cup that year)…. All these things flashing through my mind, as the teams take the field. The game played on Friday March 22, 2013 was iconic, in both Croatian football, and Serbian football, it was a game that was long overdue, a game that would be the salt on the still fresh wounds of anyone of the nations that lost it. Mainly, it was a game to show who was better, a mini-prolonged version of the war played out on the pitch.  However, knowing what soccer means to Croats, not to mention how incredibly amazing Modric, and Rakitic are; and how intense they get at even the most obscene friendly matches, I knew the results wouldn’t be good. I have been let down by the Serbian national team many times in any aspect of any soccer competition. (This is an understatement, the Serbian team shows up to play the big boys, but then loses to countries that should not even be playing soccer).

                 In, reality, all I prayed for was nothing crazy too happen, really all of this past would not be forgotten but at least buried, a dying ember if you will. Seeing as how a majority of these players were either a fetus, or in diapers sucking on Legos when the two sides took to a battle ranging from village to village, massacring each other in the worst ways imaginable (only brothers could hate each other this much, people!) I did expect what I heard from the crowds the booing of the anthem, the Nazi chanting, it was expected and it will be insane not to hear the exact same being thrown when the sides take to each other on the pitch at the Marakana, probably the Yankee Stadium of soccer stadiums in the region, not to just Red Star fans, but to the entire Balkans. Lets not forget, Maksimir was the site of where one of the sparks to the war was lit, as Red Star fans chanted “We will f*** Tajci” (A Croatian national singer, held in high regard, at that time she was one of the biggest pop stars in Yugoslavia, and had competed in the Eurovision contest)in result enraging many of the Croatian nationals as they took to the pitch in a brawl involving even the Players.

                 As I turn the volume of my TV set up, I looked at the starting line-up for Croatia; as expected, Stimac (the Croatian head coach) brought out the best of the best, hell even if he brought out the worst of the worst, these are Croats and like Montreal in hockey, they always putting up a fight regardless of how broken they are. Then I saw the Mihajlovic (Serbian head coach) line up, here are just some scattered thoughts when I saw it : “….What in the hell….who is Brkic? Where is Stojkovic?  Where was Rukavina?, Basta?, Understandable Kolarov, and Ivanovic were there but…Nastasic…Really? Where was Kuzmanovic, arguably one of our only offensive threats? Sulejmani? Where were these players?”

 Certainly Mihajlovic didn’t think he could run up against the stacked Croatian team with kids barely off the U21 team…What on earth was going on? Then I made a few “calls” if you will to people of high regard in the Serbian sports scene back in Belgrade (I FB messaged them) I asked what the hell was going on? They responded with “You can’t mess with politics, and the corruption of the national team.” It seems as if even on a national level, when it came to playing our best, going head to head against one of the biggest rivals we will ever have in any sport, the greed and corruption of our people, the soled out souls of those in head office, the leaders of the fan bases all had hands in setting these squads up, hell it was rumored that a prominent Albanian businessman (Read: DRUG DEALER, ORGAN TRAFFICKER) had his hand in the establishment of the national team. To which then I beg the question, why are we even here? I am not by any shot in any way saying that we would have beaten Croatia, that’s like saying Team USA could beat the Dream Team of ’92, but it would have been damn close…closer than anyone would have expected it to be. (Full disclosure, I firmly believe that had Kuzmanovic, Kacar, Vidic, even Jovanovic and Krasic played, that the game would not have been 2-0. Even of the players available to him, Mihajlovic really screwed us over, starting some guys who could not crack it in the MLS).

                Although, Croatia had a stronger team, they provided a very weak performance especially for their level of play, Serbia hadn’t countered with much either, but in typical Balkan fashion we shot ourselves in the foot. All it took was one screw up from Kolarov (Who’s entire career will be defined by this, just ask Mijatovic who I previously mentioned up there) too open up the flood gates, and like MOB Deep rapped, “They scared to death, they shook, ain’t no such things as half way crooks.” And in a way that’s exactly what Serbia was a half way shook crook, not the real thing, no bravery, our defense collapsed, and Modric? Well even if you had a squad of police officers around him you couldn’t keep him down.  And we did have enough chances on our own end. It took Kolarov to show the team that it could be done as he sprinted up field and fired a rocket at Pletikosa (that man looks like he smokes 3 packs before every game, even during games), but to no avail. Even after that there were a few more blown chances by the much younger and inexperienced Serbian squad. At the end,  the Croats came out on top dominant, finally the conclusion to it all had happened. 2-0. Not bad you say? It could have been worse? Well, at least we have Tennis, Basketball, and Water-polo, and even Handball!- Really? In all my life as a basketball fan, never have I been more uptight about a basketball game like I am for a soccer one. I would trade all the other trophies in all of those sports for one great, hell, even a top 10 national soccer team. I know that I sound harsh, but who cares about all these other sports other than us? Much, like the Croats brag about Skiing: no one cares. I love Novak Djokovic, and I love Teodosic,(The best basketball player in Europe currently) of course I do, but other than a select few, who really brags about this stuff on worldwide level? When is the last time you stopped what you were doing to check the scores on the match between Patrick Rafter and Pete Sampras back in the day? Or too see the score between some basketball team in FIBA, or the NBA, unless it wasn’t on TV, or a massive playoff game?  But Soccer?  That’s a different story entirely. Even peasants in the most remote Siberian villages know who won the world cup last year, and won the Euros, we all talk about great soccer players, about who’s better( Messi, or Ronaldo, Barca or Real.  Was George Best better than Maradonna? Was Pele that good? And so on). Soccer is the world’s game, its life, every child in Europe/Africa/Asia has played it at one point in time. My point is, we succeed in the things that ultimately don’t matter, yet the one thing we should have been pushing we have crumbled and fallen on, too me soccer is the ultimate reflection of a country’s status. I guess I was duped into thinking that we could have done much more, and in the usual fashion, I was let down…yet again. With the Euro’s just around the corner, I pray that Mihajlovic brings out something out of this team, but I will probably be let down again. Maybe in a few years these players will become studs, and take over the game, or maybe they will just wither and fade away (Like Duke basketball stars, am I right?). Either way only time will tell.

Post contributed By: Stefan Martinovic.

Sunday, February 24, 2013

The Oscars 2013: Discussion and Predictions



Daki:

With the Oscars coming up in a month, and Jovan's love of movies and my love of gambling still very much present, we decided to combine the two topics and make some bets on the upcoming Oscars. Jovan is looking to come back from a heartbreaking decision last year, which saw Meryl Streep take an award and Jovan’s cash as well. Jovan you feeling luckier this year?

Jovan:  

Not when it comes to the Best Actress category. Even though the winner will most probably be either Jennifer Lawrence or Jessica Chastain, there's no clear frontrunner. Jennifer Lawrence would be the favourite because she picked up the SAG award for Best Actress, but I'm not taking my chances again. The majority of analysts kept saying Viola Davis would win at last year's Oscars, but clearly they didn't know anything. I'm not even considering betting on this category. Best Supporting Actress is pretty much a lock with Anne Hathaway, however I don't believe your payout is going to be high enough to justify a bet in that category.

Daki:

So you like Anne Hathaway for best supporting actress. It would be hard to disagree with you there, she has had a great year and displayed some incredible range (her roles in 'The Dark Knight Rises' and 'Les Miserables' could not have been more different). Is there a long shot in the best lead actress category which would provide good value on a bet? So if you could not choose Lawrence or Chastain, who would you pick?

Jovan:

I honestly wouldn't put any money on any of the other three candidates. Emmanuelle Riva has the next best chance of winning, but even her odds are extremely low. The Oscars are always the same - the acting categories either have a clear frontrunner (such as Daniel Day-Lewis as Best Lead Actor for Lincoln) or it's a battle between two of the nominees. Actually, that's only mostly true. For Best Supporting Actor this year, Tommy Lee Jones is currently the favourite, but Waltz won the Golden Globe, and some analysts have predicted that Hoffman will win. However, Jones is the safest bet since he won the SAG award. I wouldn't put any money on Arkin, while De Niro is probably competing for 2nd or 3rd place.