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Monday, April 1, 2013

Profiling the NBA Contenders: Thunder

With less than a quarter of the regular season left, it seems like a perfect time to spend the next few weeks taking a closer look at the contenders for the NBA title. Our first look will be on the Thunder of Oklahoma City.



Overview

Currently, OKC (I hate that this is the only short form nickname for them, it adds to my heavy dislike of this team) sits second in the Western conference with an impressive record of 54-20 (as of this writing). They have an outside shot of catching the Spurs for the one-seed, and are led by the impressive tandem of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. Last season, the Thunder made the NBA finals and are hoping to take that final step to win this year.

Key Players

If it wasn't for Lebron submitting one of the greatest seasons ever, Durant would be the run-away MVP, he is averaging 28.3 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per game (all above his career averages) while shooting an astonishing 50% from the field, 40% from 3 and above 90% at the free-throw line. Durant has the ability to dominate playoff series, and take over in big moments, an absolute must for a team hoping to win a title. Although Durant is the best player on his team, his supporting cast is not too shabby. He is flanked by Russell Westbrook, a very dynamic and explosive player that you are not winning against if he is on his "A" game (more on this in a bit). In addition to Westbrook, the Thunder also have Serge Ibaka, one of the best interior defenders and athletes in the league along with Kevin Martin (a 20 ppg player on most other teams, but a role player on the Thunder. If Martin is your fourth best player, you are in good shape).

Strengths

Star power, a great home-court advantage, benefit of every borderline call, can protect leads, can adapt to play slow, fast, quick, or big, RussellWestbrook.

Weaknesses

Questionable coaching (especially when Scottie Brooks insisted on staying with Kendrick Perkins in the finals last year instead of starting James Harden and matching Miami's small-ball approach), poor late game execution; usually its just one guy going one-on-one and forcing a terrible shot (they get away with this because that guy is usually Kevin Durant), and Russell Westbrook.

You may have noticed that Russell Westbrook is featured as both a strength and a weakness. This is because if Westbrook brings that aforementioned "A" game, where he involves his teammates, is an absolute beast defensively, and does not force shots, the Thunder are unbeatable. However, for every "A" game Westbrook provides, he also provides games where he forces too much, shoots a long two with 22 seconds on the shot clock and blows possessions by not running the offense (not giving the ball to Durant) and looking for all the glory. Most often this results in one of those "how did we blow that game" games.

Key Question

How will the second unit and crunch time line-ups function without James Harden once the playoffs start?

Playoff Match-up Casual Fans Would Like To See Most

A duel with James Harden and the high-scoring Houston Rockets. Hands down.

 
Why They Will Win

Westbrook provides more "A" games than "F" games, a third (James harden would have been this) option emerges who relieves some of the burden of the offense that Durant and Westbrook provide, Derek Fisher hits some clutch shots.

Why They Will Lose

A third option does not emerge, Miami meets them in the finals, They get worn out from tough Western conference series, Scottie Brooks and Russell Westbrook blow winnable games with questionable decision making.

Next feature: Miami Heat



Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Guest Post: The State of Serbian Soccer


With one of the more anticipated soccer games in recent Serbian history, a friend asked me if he could post is thoughts after Croatia’s 2-0 win. Naturally, we welcome anyone to share their opinions on this blog; so here it is (author credit will be at the bottom of the page, I will post my own notes in italics throughout the article when necessary).

The loss to Australia…..6-0…6-0…The loss too Argentina rings through my brain…Mijatovic’s missed penalty kick to send us far in the World Cup in a game against Netherlands Mijatovic missed the penalty when the score was 1-1,( Holland would then score in the 92’ to send them through to the quarter finals). The national team losing their place to Denmark (who would go onto win it all in the 1992 Euro’s), Red Star Belgrade ’91 (A Serbian club team who lifted the European cup that year)…. All these things flashing through my mind, as the teams take the field. The game played on Friday March 22, 2013 was iconic, in both Croatian football, and Serbian football, it was a game that was long overdue, a game that would be the salt on the still fresh wounds of anyone of the nations that lost it. Mainly, it was a game to show who was better, a mini-prolonged version of the war played out on the pitch.  However, knowing what soccer means to Croats, not to mention how incredibly amazing Modric, and Rakitic are; and how intense they get at even the most obscene friendly matches, I knew the results wouldn’t be good. I have been let down by the Serbian national team many times in any aspect of any soccer competition. (This is an understatement, the Serbian team shows up to play the big boys, but then loses to countries that should not even be playing soccer).

                 In, reality, all I prayed for was nothing crazy too happen, really all of this past would not be forgotten but at least buried, a dying ember if you will. Seeing as how a majority of these players were either a fetus, or in diapers sucking on Legos when the two sides took to a battle ranging from village to village, massacring each other in the worst ways imaginable (only brothers could hate each other this much, people!) I did expect what I heard from the crowds the booing of the anthem, the Nazi chanting, it was expected and it will be insane not to hear the exact same being thrown when the sides take to each other on the pitch at the Marakana, probably the Yankee Stadium of soccer stadiums in the region, not to just Red Star fans, but to the entire Balkans. Lets not forget, Maksimir was the site of where one of the sparks to the war was lit, as Red Star fans chanted “We will f*** Tajci” (A Croatian national singer, held in high regard, at that time she was one of the biggest pop stars in Yugoslavia, and had competed in the Eurovision contest)in result enraging many of the Croatian nationals as they took to the pitch in a brawl involving even the Players.

                 As I turn the volume of my TV set up, I looked at the starting line-up for Croatia; as expected, Stimac (the Croatian head coach) brought out the best of the best, hell even if he brought out the worst of the worst, these are Croats and like Montreal in hockey, they always putting up a fight regardless of how broken they are. Then I saw the Mihajlovic (Serbian head coach) line up, here are just some scattered thoughts when I saw it : “….What in the hell….who is Brkic? Where is Stojkovic?  Where was Rukavina?, Basta?, Understandable Kolarov, and Ivanovic were there but…Nastasic…Really? Where was Kuzmanovic, arguably one of our only offensive threats? Sulejmani? Where were these players?”

 Certainly Mihajlovic didn’t think he could run up against the stacked Croatian team with kids barely off the U21 team…What on earth was going on? Then I made a few “calls” if you will to people of high regard in the Serbian sports scene back in Belgrade (I FB messaged them) I asked what the hell was going on? They responded with “You can’t mess with politics, and the corruption of the national team.” It seems as if even on a national level, when it came to playing our best, going head to head against one of the biggest rivals we will ever have in any sport, the greed and corruption of our people, the soled out souls of those in head office, the leaders of the fan bases all had hands in setting these squads up, hell it was rumored that a prominent Albanian businessman (Read: DRUG DEALER, ORGAN TRAFFICKER) had his hand in the establishment of the national team. To which then I beg the question, why are we even here? I am not by any shot in any way saying that we would have beaten Croatia, that’s like saying Team USA could beat the Dream Team of ’92, but it would have been damn close…closer than anyone would have expected it to be. (Full disclosure, I firmly believe that had Kuzmanovic, Kacar, Vidic, even Jovanovic and Krasic played, that the game would not have been 2-0. Even of the players available to him, Mihajlovic really screwed us over, starting some guys who could not crack it in the MLS).

                Although, Croatia had a stronger team, they provided a very weak performance especially for their level of play, Serbia hadn’t countered with much either, but in typical Balkan fashion we shot ourselves in the foot. All it took was one screw up from Kolarov (Who’s entire career will be defined by this, just ask Mijatovic who I previously mentioned up there) too open up the flood gates, and like MOB Deep rapped, “They scared to death, they shook, ain’t no such things as half way crooks.” And in a way that’s exactly what Serbia was a half way shook crook, not the real thing, no bravery, our defense collapsed, and Modric? Well even if you had a squad of police officers around him you couldn’t keep him down.  And we did have enough chances on our own end. It took Kolarov to show the team that it could be done as he sprinted up field and fired a rocket at Pletikosa (that man looks like he smokes 3 packs before every game, even during games), but to no avail. Even after that there were a few more blown chances by the much younger and inexperienced Serbian squad. At the end,  the Croats came out on top dominant, finally the conclusion to it all had happened. 2-0. Not bad you say? It could have been worse? Well, at least we have Tennis, Basketball, and Water-polo, and even Handball!- Really? In all my life as a basketball fan, never have I been more uptight about a basketball game like I am for a soccer one. I would trade all the other trophies in all of those sports for one great, hell, even a top 10 national soccer team. I know that I sound harsh, but who cares about all these other sports other than us? Much, like the Croats brag about Skiing: no one cares. I love Novak Djokovic, and I love Teodosic,(The best basketball player in Europe currently) of course I do, but other than a select few, who really brags about this stuff on worldwide level? When is the last time you stopped what you were doing to check the scores on the match between Patrick Rafter and Pete Sampras back in the day? Or too see the score between some basketball team in FIBA, or the NBA, unless it wasn’t on TV, or a massive playoff game?  But Soccer?  That’s a different story entirely. Even peasants in the most remote Siberian villages know who won the world cup last year, and won the Euros, we all talk about great soccer players, about who’s better( Messi, or Ronaldo, Barca or Real.  Was George Best better than Maradonna? Was Pele that good? And so on). Soccer is the world’s game, its life, every child in Europe/Africa/Asia has played it at one point in time. My point is, we succeed in the things that ultimately don’t matter, yet the one thing we should have been pushing we have crumbled and fallen on, too me soccer is the ultimate reflection of a country’s status. I guess I was duped into thinking that we could have done much more, and in the usual fashion, I was let down…yet again. With the Euro’s just around the corner, I pray that Mihajlovic brings out something out of this team, but I will probably be let down again. Maybe in a few years these players will become studs, and take over the game, or maybe they will just wither and fade away (Like Duke basketball stars, am I right?). Either way only time will tell.

Post contributed By: Stefan Martinovic.

Sunday, February 24, 2013

The Oscars 2013: Discussion and Predictions



Daki:

With the Oscars coming up in a month, and Jovan's love of movies and my love of gambling still very much present, we decided to combine the two topics and make some bets on the upcoming Oscars. Jovan is looking to come back from a heartbreaking decision last year, which saw Meryl Streep take an award and Jovan’s cash as well. Jovan you feeling luckier this year?

Jovan:  

Not when it comes to the Best Actress category. Even though the winner will most probably be either Jennifer Lawrence or Jessica Chastain, there's no clear frontrunner. Jennifer Lawrence would be the favourite because she picked up the SAG award for Best Actress, but I'm not taking my chances again. The majority of analysts kept saying Viola Davis would win at last year's Oscars, but clearly they didn't know anything. I'm not even considering betting on this category. Best Supporting Actress is pretty much a lock with Anne Hathaway, however I don't believe your payout is going to be high enough to justify a bet in that category.

Daki:

So you like Anne Hathaway for best supporting actress. It would be hard to disagree with you there, she has had a great year and displayed some incredible range (her roles in 'The Dark Knight Rises' and 'Les Miserables' could not have been more different). Is there a long shot in the best lead actress category which would provide good value on a bet? So if you could not choose Lawrence or Chastain, who would you pick?

Jovan:

I honestly wouldn't put any money on any of the other three candidates. Emmanuelle Riva has the next best chance of winning, but even her odds are extremely low. The Oscars are always the same - the acting categories either have a clear frontrunner (such as Daniel Day-Lewis as Best Lead Actor for Lincoln) or it's a battle between two of the nominees. Actually, that's only mostly true. For Best Supporting Actor this year, Tommy Lee Jones is currently the favourite, but Waltz won the Golden Globe, and some analysts have predicted that Hoffman will win. However, Jones is the safest bet since he won the SAG award. I wouldn't put any money on Arkin, while De Niro is probably competing for 2nd or 3rd place.

Wednesday, January 30, 2013

On Rudy Gay and the Raptors

It is seeming more and more likely that Rudy Gay will be a Toronto Raptor in the very near future. Multiple sources (including ESPN and Yahoo) have leaked details about the trade and if these details are correct, Raptors fans should be outraged. Before getting into it, here is the breakdown of the trade:

Toronto Gets

Rudy Gay (and his 18 million dollar per year contract which runs for two more seasons after this one)
Darelle Arthur (maybe, the details are dusty on this one)

Toronto Loses

Jose Calderon (for who Memphis is trying to find a third team, more on this later)
Ed Davis
1st Round pick
Another player likely to be a throw in to make the salaries match

So Memphis sheds Rudy Gay and his crazy contract, gets a draft pick, and a young player who has emerged as a solid contributor on the Raptors. For them this is a great trade as it gives them some flexibility, while allowing them to keep the Gasol-Randolph-Conley core for the next few seasons. For the third team that will likely be involved (and my money is on the Lakers, if any team can luck into Calderon and Pau Gasol off of the bench its them) they get a very good offensive player whose contract expires at the end of this season. The Raptors? They cement Colangelo's reputation as an overrated GM who only made Phoenix a contender because it was his dad calling the shots there. Here are some reasons why.

This trade is a panic trade, plain and simple

The Raptors have (over the past few seasons) managed to assemble some young exciting talent (Val, Ross, Derozan, Ed Davis) through the draft. Remember all those "fans" who were mad at the Terrence Ross selection? Where are you now? Anyways, the key point here is that the Raptors were on he right track going forward. This trade will cost them yet another first-round pick, a young player, and could hinder Derozan's development as he and Rudy Gay have similar games. By constricting their ability to draft, the Raptors would have to rely on trades and signings (cut to Kapono, O'Neal, Marion, Turkoglu, Aaron Gray, and Pietrus sharing a laugh) to improve, and Colangelo's track record there is certainly nothing to be hopeful of. The bottom line is that this season would have a completely different outlook if the Raptors would have had some (pick one of at least 12 games that was blown in the last 2 minutes) results go their way earlier in the season. This is a young team that will struggle to win close games, but they are very competitive and despite their poor start they sit about 5 games out of a playoff spot. That does not sound like a team that needs to make a panic trade, it sounds like one that has to be patient.

The Bargnani Conundrum

By making this trade, the Raptors PF spot will be shared between Bargnani and Amir Johnson. Is there any Raptor fan alive who is happy about this? How many more chances will Andrea get here? It is very clear that he needs a change of scenery and fast! The Raptors have played much better basketball without him and keeping him here will be counterproductive to all parties involved.

Expiring Contracts are a GOOD thing BC!

Jose Calderon's contract (around 10 million per year) is set to expire at the end of the season and with it the Raptors would have much more financial flexibility. Being under the salary cap is a really good thing in the NBA. It enables a team to take on unwanted but talented players, and it helps them stockpile draft picks when other teams (like the Raptors in this case) panic. Keeping Calderon and letting him sign elsewhere would have been a far more logical move than shipping him mid-season so one team can get the benefit of his expiring contract.

Another note about this, why exactly are contenders not lining up for Jose? He is a more than capable offensive player and would be a fantastic back-up PG for a contending team. Also if he doesn't work out guess what? Just let him become a free agent. It is literally a no-lose situation. You're telling me that Western conference teams wouldn't be furious if he went to the Spurs? the Lakers? Thunder? Come on.

The Art of Negotiation

So Memphis is the team desperately trying to dump salary. Memphis is putting in the effort to make this trade happen, Memphis, Memphis, Memphis, it is all on them. So why then are the Raptors giving up a first round pick? How does BC let the Grizzlies management bully him like this? Thankfully he had the sense to make Ross "untouchable" but giving up that first-round pick just seems insane to me. What is even more troubling is that this trade would really not change much. Sure the Raptors could maybe sneak into the playoffs but what then? Are they beating Miami or New York? Answer: NO. It seems like BC feels that giving up the next two years of the draft is also an option because of the potential Val and Ross can exhibit. At this point, he is risking his career on that.