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Sorry for the lack of an NFL 'big picture' post this week, but I left town to visit my sister on Thursday and had just enough time to post a pick for the Thursday night game. Luckily for me (and my pick) Eli, Tom Coughlin and the Giants came through in a game that no one expected them to win... wait! Did I say luckily? I meant totally expectedly. Bill Belichick and Brady passed that torch to Tom Coughlin and Eli a long time ago and I don't think they will be giving it up any time soon. I have to give credit where credit is due: the Giants are the current model franchise of the NFL. That Thursday night game could have easily been a write-off, yet the smart draft-choices they made (Bill Barnwell of Grantland mentioned an interesting point: since the Eli Manning trade, the Giants have always had their top four picks in each subsequent draft) came into the game and fired on all cylinders. Anyways, lets move on to the rest of the games.
Buffalo (-3) At Cleveland
Ugh. What a terrible game. The Bills got curb-stomped in their opening game, then proceeded to embarrass the Kansas City Chiefs at home. Is Buffalo just going to be good at home? This game will tell us a lot. As for the Browns and their poor fans, this could be one of the only games that they can actually win this year...yay?
The pick: Buffalo
Cincinnati (+3) At Washington
Okay, rising star RG3 took about 50 cheap-shots last week against the rams, and the incompetent replacement officials (their new name) ignored every single one of them. The commissioner will make sure to 'remind' the refs of who the league's stars are and RG3 will draw flags if a defender so much as looks at him this week. Wait a second, this is not the NBA and this is not David Stern pulling the strings. If this were the NBA, I would pick the Redskins in a heart-beat, but its not, so I am going with the Bengals.
The pick: Bengals
Detroit (-4) At Tennessee
I think that this Titans team really sucks and the artist formerly known as Chris Johnson is among the primary reasons why. I think a corpse would gain more yards than he has this season. Take the Lions and the money.
The pick: Detroit
Jacksonville (+3) At Indianapolis
Andrew Luck really showed something at the end of last weeks game against the Vikings. He set up Vinateri (he's still got it) for a game-winning kick in less than 18 seconds! Once the Colts win this game, look for a slew of: "Here come the Colts" stories. Will they really be 2-1?
The pick: Colts
Kansas City (+9) At New Orleans
Both teams are 0-2, both teams desperately need a win to avoid a nightmare-ish 0-3 start, (I can't think of many teams that overcame such starts to make the playoffs, but I am pretty sure the numbers are not good), and both teams might not even be that good. Also working against the saints is D-block reminding me that football teams with major off-the field issues never do well. Kansas might lose, but they can cover the spread.
The pick: Kansas City
New York Jets (-1) At Miami
I think that this is a pretty good Jets team that simply got overwhelmed by a much better Pittsburgh squad last week. This is their chance to prove that point (and make me look really smart).
The pick: Jets
San Francisco At Minnesota
Once again, as I am a fan of the 49ers, I will not be picking their game.
St. Louis (+7) At Chicago
Not since LaDanian Tomlinson was in his heyday with the Chargers has a player (in this case two players) eaten so much crow when talking pre-game. Cutler and Marshal submitted comically bad performances against the Packers of Green Bay in their last outing. Luckily for them, the schedule gives them the Rams this week.
The pick: Chicago
Tampa Bay (+8) At Dallas
Tampa really blew it last week. They had a chance to go 2-0 and send the Giants into a potential tailspin, but instead they are 1-1 and now face the second of their NFC East test. This line is just a little bit too high for my liking.
The pick: Tampa Bay
Atlanta (+3) At San Diego
I know, I am just as baffled as you are that the Chargers are favoured in this game.
The pick: Atlanta
Philadelphia (-3) At Arizona
Okay Arizona, you managed to upset the Patriots in one of the most poorly played last minutes of a game I have ever seen. The Patriots and Cardinals were trying to out-do each other to see who could blow the game in a worse way with the Patriots coming out on top (but not by much). Now you are coming up against a team that I have no idea what to expect from. The Eagles could win by 50 or lose by 50 and I don't think that I would bat an eyelash. Tragically, Vegas took the odds of "Andy Reid screwing up a clock-management situation" props off of the board after they almost went bankrupt last week.
The pick: Eagles
Houston (-1.5) At Denver
Here you go Houston, you know that attention will be paid to this game, this is your chance to send the rest of the AFC (and the league) a message that you are for real.
The pick: Houston
Sunday Night Football/Game of the Week: New England (+2) At Baltimore
The Ravens make their second straight appearance in my gimmicky "game of the week" feature, and what a game this could be! Both teams are coming off losses in games that they feel should have been wins. Both teams do not like each other, and both teams will bring it. It is hard to fathom that one of these two teams will be 1-2 after this game (unless they tie... don't bet on it). Also last week I received a rather annoying post on my Facebook wall about Ray Lewis' performance in week one, so I will return the favour here by posting his stellar week 2 stat-line: 5 whole tackles. That is all. As for the betting aspect of this game, this is one of those that you stay-the-hell away from at all costs and just enjoy what should be a spectacular duel between two AFC contenders.
The pick (since I have to): Ravens
Green Bay (-3.5) At Seattle
I do not fear Qwest Field.
The pick: Packers (and the over)
The results so far
Thursday night games: 2-0
All other games: 7-7
Overall: 9-7
Enjoy your football everyone!
Showing posts with label NFL predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL predictions. Show all posts
Saturday, September 22, 2012
Sunday, September 16, 2012
Week 2 NFL Picks
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I initially planned to do these sometime on Saturday, but that plan fell through and I am making the picks for week 2 of the NFL season on Sunday morning. On Thursday, my last-second pick of the Packers over the Bears turned out to be golden. Hopefully that carries over.
Arizona (+14) At New England
The Patriots open their season at home against a team with a weak secondary, a mediocre QB, and not much talent. Expect Tom Brady to put up huge numbers in this one in a blow out.
The pick: Patriots
Game of the week: Baltimore (+3) At Philadelphia
It might be a really bad sign for the Eagles that every person in North America is taking the Ravens in this game (with confidence). To be honest, I have no idea how they came up with this line. The Ravens routed a descent team, while the Eagles barely beat the Browns... the Browns! Perhaps Vegas thinks that the Eagles will actually run the ball more today and be effective doing it, or they are afraid of Vick having one of those games where he just beats a team by himself. Regardless, this week the Ravens send a message to the rest of the NFL.
The pick: Ravens
Cleveland (+7) At Cincinnati
The two teams that lost to the Eagles and Ravens last week! We get a chance to see if Cleveland is actually better than we think, and the Bengals worse. Don't count on it though.
The pick: Cincy
Houston (-6.5) At Jacksonville
AFC contender vs. AFC doormat. Houston has been making noise the past few seasons, and if they want people to take them seriously as contenders they need to brush teams like the Jaguars away convincingly. I think they are contenders and I think they show it by beating up on a much weaker team.
The pick: Houston
Kansas City (+3) At Buffalo
Neither team wants to start 0-2 (well, I don't think anyone actually wants to start off without a win in their first two games) but both teams will look at this as an opportunity to get a W.
The pick: Kansas City
Minnesota (-2.5) At Indianapolis
Andrew Luck should fare much better against a defense that isn't the Bears, but Adrian Peterson should run this Colts team ragged.
The pick: Vikings
Upset Special: New Orleans (-3) At Carolina
This game reminds us of how important coaching is in the NFL and we are treated to a variety of "Whats wrong with the Saints" stories all of next week. Cam Newton wins a fantasy football match-up by himself
The pick: Panthers
Oakland (-1.5) At Miami
A West-coast team travelling East to play a 1pm game in the blistering Miami conditions after having a shorter week to prepare? And Carson Palmer is involved? Take the Dolphins and the money.
The pick: Dolphins
Tampa Bay (+7.5) At New York Giants
Before the season started, I jumped on 16-1 odds on Tampa to win the division. Those odds are now down to 8-1 and I am picking Tampa to win outright today! Of course this means that Eli will tear them apart and make me regret ever typing this.
The pick: Tampa
Dallas (-3.5) At Seattle
Am I the only one who thought the Cowboys defense was really impressive in their season opening win over the Giants? This team might be a sleeper and we just don't see it yet. The Seattle home-field advantage is offset by virtue of the Cowboys getting an extra 3 days to prepare, having played their week 1 game on a Wednesday night.
The pick: Dallas
Washington (-3.5) At St. Louis
The RG3 Band-wagon really takes off after this game once everyone realizes that the Redskins are somehow 2-0.
The pick: Redskins
New York Jets (+4.5) At Pittsburgh Steelers
The team Tebow beat in the playoffs! But that will be about the only good thing going for the Jets this game. Expect a tough, defensive battle, with Pittsburgh shaking off the stink Peyton Manning put on them last week.
The pick: Steelers
Tennessee (+6.5) At San Diego
When you are not sure, take the points.
The pick: Titans
Detroit At San Francisco
Being a 49ers fan, I will abstain from picking their games as I will clearly be biased.
Monday Night Football: Denver (+3) At Atlanta
Peyton Manning gets to play in a dome. Conditions that he has dominated over the course of his career. The Broncos come up against a Falcons team that absolutely trashed the Chiefs in week 1 (on the road no less) and will be looking to establish a lead in their division. Personally, I am torn. I don't think that this Falcons team is legit, but I also have not seen Manning take a big hit yet. But then again, its a Monday night game on prime-time television, and we know Manning will deliver.
The pick: Broncos
Thursday night: 1-0
Overall Record: 1-0*
*Picks feature started in Week 2
Enjoy your football everyone!
Arizona (+14) At New England
The Patriots open their season at home against a team with a weak secondary, a mediocre QB, and not much talent. Expect Tom Brady to put up huge numbers in this one in a blow out.
The pick: Patriots
Game of the week: Baltimore (+3) At Philadelphia
It might be a really bad sign for the Eagles that every person in North America is taking the Ravens in this game (with confidence). To be honest, I have no idea how they came up with this line. The Ravens routed a descent team, while the Eagles barely beat the Browns... the Browns! Perhaps Vegas thinks that the Eagles will actually run the ball more today and be effective doing it, or they are afraid of Vick having one of those games where he just beats a team by himself. Regardless, this week the Ravens send a message to the rest of the NFL.
The pick: Ravens
Cleveland (+7) At Cincinnati
The two teams that lost to the Eagles and Ravens last week! We get a chance to see if Cleveland is actually better than we think, and the Bengals worse. Don't count on it though.
The pick: Cincy
Houston (-6.5) At Jacksonville
AFC contender vs. AFC doormat. Houston has been making noise the past few seasons, and if they want people to take them seriously as contenders they need to brush teams like the Jaguars away convincingly. I think they are contenders and I think they show it by beating up on a much weaker team.
The pick: Houston
Kansas City (+3) At Buffalo
Neither team wants to start 0-2 (well, I don't think anyone actually wants to start off without a win in their first two games) but both teams will look at this as an opportunity to get a W.
The pick: Kansas City
Minnesota (-2.5) At Indianapolis
Andrew Luck should fare much better against a defense that isn't the Bears, but Adrian Peterson should run this Colts team ragged.
The pick: Vikings
Upset Special: New Orleans (-3) At Carolina
This game reminds us of how important coaching is in the NFL and we are treated to a variety of "Whats wrong with the Saints" stories all of next week. Cam Newton wins a fantasy football match-up by himself
The pick: Panthers
Oakland (-1.5) At Miami
A West-coast team travelling East to play a 1pm game in the blistering Miami conditions after having a shorter week to prepare? And Carson Palmer is involved? Take the Dolphins and the money.
The pick: Dolphins
Tampa Bay (+7.5) At New York Giants
Before the season started, I jumped on 16-1 odds on Tampa to win the division. Those odds are now down to 8-1 and I am picking Tampa to win outright today! Of course this means that Eli will tear them apart and make me regret ever typing this.
The pick: Tampa
Dallas (-3.5) At Seattle
Am I the only one who thought the Cowboys defense was really impressive in their season opening win over the Giants? This team might be a sleeper and we just don't see it yet. The Seattle home-field advantage is offset by virtue of the Cowboys getting an extra 3 days to prepare, having played their week 1 game on a Wednesday night.
The pick: Dallas
Washington (-3.5) At St. Louis
The RG3 Band-wagon really takes off after this game once everyone realizes that the Redskins are somehow 2-0.
The pick: Redskins
New York Jets (+4.5) At Pittsburgh Steelers
The team Tebow beat in the playoffs! But that will be about the only good thing going for the Jets this game. Expect a tough, defensive battle, with Pittsburgh shaking off the stink Peyton Manning put on them last week.
The pick: Steelers
Tennessee (+6.5) At San Diego
When you are not sure, take the points.
The pick: Titans
Detroit At San Francisco
Being a 49ers fan, I will abstain from picking their games as I will clearly be biased.
Monday Night Football: Denver (+3) At Atlanta
Peyton Manning gets to play in a dome. Conditions that he has dominated over the course of his career. The Broncos come up against a Falcons team that absolutely trashed the Chiefs in week 1 (on the road no less) and will be looking to establish a lead in their division. Personally, I am torn. I don't think that this Falcons team is legit, but I also have not seen Manning take a big hit yet. But then again, its a Monday night game on prime-time television, and we know Manning will deliver.
The pick: Broncos
Thursday night: 1-0
Overall Record: 1-0*
*Picks feature started in Week 2
Enjoy your football everyone!
Sunday, September 18, 2011
NFL Week 2 Quick Picks
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Due to the lot of us being busy with school or work, and a brilliant review of Drive posted, this weeks picks will be quick.
The Match-ups
Sunday:
Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills (-3.0)
Pick: Bills
Green Bay Packers (-10.0) at Carolina Panthers
Pick: Packers
Kansas City Chiefs at Detroit Lions (-7.5)
Pick: Lions
Cleveland Browns (-2.0) at Indianapolis Colts
Pick: Colts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings (-3.0)
Pick: Tampa
Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints (-7.0)
Pick: Saints
Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Jets (-8.5)
Pick: Jets
Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) at Tennessee Titans
Pick: Ravens
Arizona Cardinals at Washington Redskins (-3.0)
Pick: Redskins
Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers (-14.0)
Pick: Steelers
Dallas Cowboys (-3.0) at San Francisco 49ers
Pick: 49ers
Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos (-3.5)
Pick: Broncos
San Diego Chargers at New England Patriots (-6.5)
Pick: Patriots
Houston Texans (-3.0) at Miami Dolphins
Pick: Texans
Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) at Atlanta Falcons
Pick: Eagles
Monday Night Football:
St. Louis Rams at New York Giants (-6.0)
Pick: Rams
Last week I went 8-8 against the spread, so take these with a grain of salt
The Match-ups
Sunday:
Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills (-3.0)
Pick: Bills
Green Bay Packers (-10.0) at Carolina Panthers
Pick: Packers
Kansas City Chiefs at Detroit Lions (-7.5)
Pick: Lions
Cleveland Browns (-2.0) at Indianapolis Colts
Pick: Colts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings (-3.0)
Pick: Tampa
Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints (-7.0)
Pick: Saints
Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Jets (-8.5)
Pick: Jets
Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) at Tennessee Titans
Pick: Ravens
Arizona Cardinals at Washington Redskins (-3.0)
Pick: Redskins
Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers (-14.0)
Pick: Steelers
Dallas Cowboys (-3.0) at San Francisco 49ers
Pick: 49ers
Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos (-3.5)
Pick: Broncos
San Diego Chargers at New England Patriots (-6.5)
Pick: Patriots
Houston Texans (-3.0) at Miami Dolphins
Pick: Texans
Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) at Atlanta Falcons
Pick: Eagles
Monday Night Football:
St. Louis Rams at New York Giants (-6.0)
Pick: Rams
Last week I went 8-8 against the spread, so take these with a grain of salt
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