Notes on the 70th Golden Globe Nominations - And Some Predictions

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Movies – Best Motion Picture

There aren’t many surprises here. There are three films currently competing for the Oscar for Best Motion Picture, and all three have been nominated. The two dramas are Lincoln and Zero Dark Thirty and the other is Les Miserables. For the dramas, it will come down to whether the voters have a higher honor for their history or their politics. And Les Miserables seems to be a lock at this moment in the Musical/Comedy category.

Movies – Best Actor/Actress

Lead actor for a drama will most likely go to Daniel Day-Lewis, as he delivered an excellent performance as the 16^th US president and voters are aware of his acting abilities (he may become the first actor to win three Oscars for Best Actor in February). Joaquin Phoenix’s performance was insane and he’s definitely the runner-up in my book, but I don’t see votes picking him over DDL.

Lead actor for a musical or comedy is going to have no effect on the Oscars because none of these guys will win, but Hugh Jackman is currently the frontrunner and it’s good to see Bradley Cooper nominated for his terrific portrayal of a man with bi-polar struggling to deal with himself and his family.

I’m sorry to admit that I have not seen any of the movies for which the lead actresses are nominated. Jessica Chastain is the apparent frontrunner, but I can’t guess on anyone else. As for supporting actress, Jennifer Lawrence delivered a strong performance and she’s being recognized by most critics. She’s going to be contending for the Oscar, putting her in front of her competition.

Movies – Other

Best director typically goes to the Best Motion Picture. I’m surprised that Tom Hooper was not nominated for Les Miserables, but from the ones nominated, I expect Kathryn Bigelow to win, simply because Lincoln was not difficult to direct (then again, the Hurt Locker beat out Avatar for direction).

Screenplay is 100% going to Lincoln, and I agree because the entire movie is about the screenplay. If you like 150 minutes of talking, you’ll like Lincoln.

I don’t have much idea on the song and score categories, but a crowd favorite for song is definitely Skyfall by Adele.

Best animated film will most likely go to Brave or Wreck-it-Ralph (Pixar vs. Disney), and my pick would definitely be the latter.

As for foreign language film, Amour is being mentioned as a Best Motion Picture contender for the Oscars, so it doesn’t seem like any other movie has a chance right now.

TV – Everything

There are simply too many TV shows to be able to keep up with all the annual nominations. However there are some points I would like to make.

Homeland is being nominated for season 2 and it better not win anything except for Damien Lewis’ performance. The writers took a shit on the show after episode 4 and it’s being wild since then. Homeland went from one of the best shows on TV to one of the most ridiculous and stupid.

Breaking Bad hasn’t won anything at the Globes, and I don’t think it will this year either since it’s being nominated for only half of a season (stupidest decision ever to split up the season).

Modern Family is most likely taking all the comedy awards again.

The rest of the awards are up in the air. The Golden Globes are unpredictable and in all honesty, everyone knows the Emmy’s are a lot more meaningful for TV shows.